Overconfidence: A Risky but Pervasive Phenomenon in Litigated Disputes - Journal of Emerging Issues in Litigation

“Overconfidence” may have negative connotations, but it can be beneficial in competitive situations like litigation where parties compete for resources. Nonetheless, posturing and overconfidence of opposing parties and counsel are common frustrations felt by lawyers and claims professionals. Most litigants fail to see themselves as overconfident even though that can result in miscalculations and erroneous risk assessments.

Litigants can employ techniques to improve decision making but sometimes going to trial is considered the right decision for reasons that are considered more important than whether the result is better than the last settlement demand or offer. In addition to focusing on legal and financial threats that are external to themselves, litigants might also consider threats of their own making; namely, how they think about risk amid uncertainty.

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